**Replication Materials for:
**Messaging, Policy, and “Credible” Votes: Do Members of Congress Vote **Differently When Policy Is on the Line?

**By Thomas R. Gray and Jeffery A. Jenkins

**March 15, 2022

**Obama-Era Replication File

**Load Obama_Years_Data.dta**

**Figure 1; graphical elements customized for paper presentation**
graph twoway rarea housedem zero housedembase, horizontal fcolor(blue%30) || rarea houserep zero houserepbase, horizontal fcolor(red%30) || rarea phousedem zero phousedembase, fcolor(navy%30) horizontal || rarea phouserep zero phouserepbase, fcolor(maroon%30) horizontal

**Figure 2; graphical elements customized for paper presentation**
graph twoway scatter excluded pos3 if house==1, legend(off) mcolor(black%50) || scatter credible pos3 if house==1 & statsigsub==1, mcolor(green%80) || scatter credible pos3 if house==1 & statsigsub==0, mcolor(green%10)

**Figure 3; graphical elements customized for paper presentation**
graph twoway rarea sendem zero sendembase, horizontal || rarea senrep zero senrepbase, horizontal || rarea psendem zero psendembase, horizontal || rarea psenrep zero psenrepbase, horizontal

**Figure 4; graphical elements customized for paper presentation**
graph twoway scatter excluded pos3 if house==0, legend(off) mcolor(black%50) || scatter credible pos3 if house==0 & statsigsub==1, mcolor(green%80) || scatter credible pos3 if house==0 & statsigsub==0, mcolor(green%10)

**Figure 5; graphical elements customized for paper presentation**
graph twoway rarea fhousedem zero fhousedembase, horizontal || rarea fhouserep zero fhouserepbase, horizontal || rarea phousedem zero phousedembase, horizontal || rarea phouserep zero phouserepbase, horizontal

**Figure 6; graphical elements customized for paper presentation**
graph twoway scatter full pos if house==1, legend(off) mcolor(black%50) || scatter credible pos if house==1 & sigdif==1, mcolor(green%80) || scatter credible pos if house==1 & sigdif==0, mcolor(green%10)

**Figure 7; graphical elements customized for paper presentation**
graph twoway rarea fsendem zero fsendembase, horizontal || rarea fsenrep zero fsenrepbase, horizontal || rarea psendem zero psendembase, horizontal || rarea psenrep zero psenrepbase, horizontal

**Figure 8; graphical elements customized for paper presentation**
graph twoway scatter full pos if house==0, legend(off) mcolor(black%50) || scatter credible pos if house==0 & sigdif==1, mcolor(green%80) || scatter credible pos if house==0 & sigdif==0, mcolor(green%10) 

**Table 2**
sum credible if house==1 & party==100
sum credible if house==1 & party==200
***Polarization and overlap manually calculated***
sum credible if house==0 & party==100
sum credible if house==0 & party==200
***Polarization and overlap manually calculated***
sum full if house==1 & party==100
sum full if house==1 & party==200
***Polarization and overlap manually calculated***
sum full if house==0 & party==100
sum full if house==0 & party==200
***Polarization and overlap manually calculated***
***Differences manually calculated***
